Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.952409 2.238330 2.554062 2.928988 3.362627 3.849068 4.437047
2025-06-01 1.523641 1.908465 2.374615 2.982758 3.758076 4.717274 5.999865
2025-06-08 1.297329 1.725001 2.276573 3.043972 4.090296 5.476027 7.465236
2025-06-15 1.123253 1.567112 2.169292 3.052109 4.323821 6.105264 8.817696
2025-06-22 0.971034 1.411074 2.034311 2.989775 4.432681 6.554291 9.954401
2025-06-29 0.858495 1.293465 1.933549 2.954859 4.564020 7.035847 11.185706
2025-07-06 0.760570 1.183688 1.828114 2.894136 4.639573 7.429632 12.317344
2025-07-13 0.727434 1.168409 1.862934 3.053157 5.077019 8.441806 14.590469
2025-07-20 0.667353 1.102481 1.808630 3.057733 5.255201 9.040657 16.228200
2025-07-27 0.632024 1.072822 1.809171 3.152337 5.594793 9.950705 18.538117
2025-08-03 0.585368 1.018581 1.761693 3.156031 5.770126 10.584147 20.412041
2025-08-10 0.540683 0.962971 1.705604 3.136643 5.898090 11.140600 22.205224
2025-08-17 0.484378 0.885344 1.610350 3.049698 5.918683 11.555382 23.908296
2025-08-24 0.451925 0.849001 1.588446 3.103784 6.230621 12.603929 27.148837
2025-08-31 0.424503 0.818577 1.573337 3.167729 6.568858 13.751182 30.798304
2025-09-07 0.393899 0.778245 1.533910 3.176211 6.790565 14.682169 34.121356
2025-09-14 0.359197 0.725734 1.463998 3.111194 6.842790 15.247428 36.681550
2025-09-21 0.331132 0.683702 1.410687 3.074778 6.952800 15.957276 39.719171
2025-09-28 0.303668 0.639948 1.348875 3.011447 6.991412 16.504537 42.442299
2025-10-05 0.297904 0.642128 1.385784 3.177305 7.595958 18.504858 49.356316
2025-10-12 0.279819 0.615225 1.355613 3.182077 7.807605 19.560031 53.898962
2025-10-19 0.270077 0.606011 1.364169 3.280759 8.268972 21.325931 60.793458
2025-10-26 0.254568 0.581908 1.335761 3.284613 8.485636 22.478056 66.120978